The introduction of the Federal Reserve in the US in 1913 marked a turning point in US and global economics, followed by the abondance of the gold standard by the Fed in 1933. I want to share my learnings from a study published by Thomas. L. Hogan in 2014 about the impact of the Federal Reserve on the US economices: Has the Fed Improved U.S. Economic Performance? ...
The other day, I came across a great video podcast that made me think about biologoy, relationships and happiness. I want to elaborate a bit on my thoughts about the topics that were part of the conversation. ...
In this short article, I’ll show you how to develop locally with LLMs, making AI development free and private. With the rising costs of AI services, running models locally is becoming an increasingly attractive option for developers who want full control over their AI development process. ...
It’s been a while and the teams are already deep into the Bundesliga season. Nevertheless, I don’t want to deprive you of my findings of simulating the strategy. In the first post, we looked at 14 seasons of Bundesliga data to analyze patterns in match results, goal times and odds trends. Our Strategy The strategy I will be backtesting today will be betting on over 0.5 goals in the 30th minute if until then no goal has been scored. At the time of writing the odds with these conditions average at around 1.2. The odds are crucial to the profitability of this strategy, so keep that in mind. I will walk you through my analysis and thoughts when writing the code for it. You can find the unfortunately unorganized notebook and the data for this study on Github. ...
This blog post deals with trading the crypto bullruns in the most optimal way to secure profits using the CBB Index. This strategy would have easily outperformed holding bitcoin, as we would have sold at each cycle top and reinvested everything in the bear market. I will use this plan for altcoins as well, as they are highly correlated with bitcoin, making it difficult to predict the exact top for each coin. This approach may limit maximum profits, but it helps to secure them. ...
The European Football Championship is in full swing and, fittingly, I had the idea to develop a betting strategy for the upcoming Bundesliga season. Let´s analyze some historical data and develop a thesis. We will be using data from OpenLigaDB from 2009/10 to 2023/24 and explore statistics like the distribution of match outcomes, results by winning team, and scoring times. In this post, the data is processed and visualized using Python, Plotly and Matplotlib. Our aim is to uncover trends and patterns that will be useful for a follow-up post on value betting strategies, focusing specifically on bets on more than 0.5 goals. ...
If you’re into finance-related content on YouTube, you’ve probably seen all these ads where someone is making 20k a month with their crypto signals and that you should definitely join their Telegram group too. Although 99.9% of these groups are definitely scams and don’t work at all, I wanted to review how a select group has performed in the past. Note that this is not a public group, but a paid group that I will be backtesting. I got access to this group through my work colleague whose company has access to this group. ...
Learning about emotions and how to control them has been one of the best decisions I’ve made in recent years. The last post about Marcus Aurelius’ meditations might plant some seeds for you in this regard. ...
The Meditations of Marcus Aurelius really brought me into the stoic philosophy. After the initial part about life and death below I’ll continue with quotes regarding about life and ethics. ...
While reading the Meditations of Marcus Aurelius, I saved some passages using Readwise that I would like to share here. ...